Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.840647 0.987262 1.145584 1.328510 1.533275 1.754664 2.011346
2025-03-30 0.616406 0.822622 1.066767 1.373371 1.744147 2.174029 2.705860
2025-04-06 0.439923 0.665552 0.957158 1.352135 1.862918 2.490664 3.308955
2025-04-13 0.335581 0.570530 0.899224 1.374541 2.024521 2.861719 3.998615
2025-04-20 0.257584 0.490713 0.842324 1.382041 2.157337 3.196956 4.657974
2025-04-27 0.200968 0.427771 0.795118 1.390601 2.284202 3.524952 5.320122
2025-05-04 0.155592 0.370724 0.744625 1.383153 2.381049 3.811222 5.934990
2025-05-11 0.117372 0.315270 0.685193 1.350637 2.432442 4.030356 6.461764
2025-05-18 0.093442 0.280673 0.654513 1.358364 2.541888 4.334913 7.118839
2025-05-25 0.070374 0.240077 0.604523 1.324989 2.579969 4.531421 7.624016
2025-06-01 0.056791 0.217120 0.583916 1.339432 2.694291 4.846017 8.312426
2025-06-08 0.044210 0.191814 0.553278 1.330491 2.766417 5.096066 8.911182
2025-06-15 0.038167 0.183565 0.559310 1.394404 2.972439 5.573771 9.885836
2025-06-22 0.032117 0.172898 0.558139 1.444282 3.157837 6.028476 10.845297
2025-06-29 0.023940 0.150549 0.524441 1.423643 3.214201 6.275211 11.489993
2025-07-06 0.019178 0.138184 0.512915 1.447604 3.353221 6.663725 12.371281
2025-07-13 0.014865 0.124704 0.495299 1.455695 3.461892 7.004721 13.187021
2025-07-20 0.011475 0.112818 0.479203 1.464732 3.571934 7.351379 14.021895
2025-07-27 0.008484 0.100075 0.457262 1.457034 3.647578 7.640366 14.770341
2025-08-03 0.005817 0.085784 0.426320 1.423201 3.667325 7.830569 15.359921
2025-08-10 0.004337 0.077647 0.413195 1.431258 3.772214 8.174929 16.215581
2025-08-17 0.002832 0.066249 0.384956 1.396506 3.784423 8.351385 16.791773
2025-08-24 0.002090 0.060620 0.376215 1.411550 3.902391 8.723575 17.709272